Only two plays but both cashed – back to the lab to finish the week!
Taijuan Walker U3.5 Ks -109
*LAD strike out 21.3% vs RHP in L30
*LAD averages 8.67 Ks in L3
*2 strike out targets in the lineup
I normally shy away from 3.5 line unders because of how small the margin of error is but with Walker reverting away from strike out rate this seems like a solid time to break the rule. Dodgers got struck out 8 times – this lineup has been better as of late.
Mitch Keller O5.5 Ks -114
*NYM strike out 20.8% vs RHP in L30
*NYM strike out the most in L3 (11.33)
*4 strike out targets in the lineup (+2 with over 20% strike out)
This line is a combination of poor start last week and the Mets being a better lineup. As of late Mets have been striking out at a higher rate. Take the discount and run.
Kevin Gausman O8.5 Ks -102
*MIN strike out 3rd most in L3 (11)
*MIN strike out 29.7% vs RHP in L30
*8 total strike out targets in the lineup
This line may be daunting for most pitchers but this is probably right where it should be. Gausman has been dealing and should dice this lineup
Shane McClanahan U7.5 Ks -129
*TEX strikes out 15.8% vs LHP in L30
*TEX strikes out 4th most in L3 (10.67)
*1 strike out target in the lineup
This one is tough, Texas has been put away easily last few games but I am looking at how left handers struggle to strike out this lineup. 7 is about the line where McClanahan stays at so to get 7.5 is a smash under.
Braxton Garrett O5.5 Ks +110
*CWS strikes out an average of 8.67 in L3
*CWS strikes out 22.8% vs LHP in L30
*7 strike out targets in the lineup
Garrett has been one of my go-tos over the last month and with 7 targets I can’t stay away. Plus money too?
Bryan Bello O4.5 Ks -150
*4 strike out targets in the lineup (2 over 20%)
*NYY strike out 23.4% vs RHP in L30
*NYY avg 6.33 in L3 (gave up 10 yesterday)
The most juice I will take but with it being final play of the day – let’s end it with some extra green!
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