Almost broke even yesterday thanks to some plus odds hits. Back to the lab we go.
Be sure to follow @wyexpect for updates on this article throughout the day.
Eduardo Rodriguez O5.5 Ks -122
*PIT strikes out the 5th most Ks in L3 (11)
*PIT has 7 batters in the lineup who strike out over 25% in L30
*Rodriguez has covered in 4 of last 5
PIT only strikes out 18.4% in L30 vs LHP but Rodriguez has been dealing and the PIT bats have been dead.
Yu Darvish O6.5 Ks -132
*KC strikes out 7th most in L3 (10.67)
*KC strikes out over 24.8% vs RHP in L30
*5 hitters in the lineup strike out over 25% in L30
Darvish had a slow start but in L5 starts he has shown he can still deal.
Mackenzie Gore O5.5 Ks -126
*MIA strikes out 23.1% vs LHP in L30
*MIA has struck out an average of 8 times in L3
*4 hitters in the lineup strike out over 25% in L30
Gore started the season strong covering 6 times (8 starts), 6 seems manageable against this lineup.
Gerrit Cole U6.5 Ks -115
*TOR has allowed the least amount of Ks in L3 (4.67)
*TOR has two batters in the lineup who strike out over 25%
I’ve been bitten by the hook in the first two plays of the game – numbers support the under.
Brayan Bello O5.5 Ks +114
*SEA has averaged 9 Ks in L3
*6 hitters in the lineup strike out over 25+ in L30
*SEA strikes out 26.2% vs RHP in L30
Bello has only gone over once this season but with 6 targets in the lineup this looks to be the 2nd time he’ll go over.
Matthew Liberatore O5.5 Ks +150
*MIL strikes out 30.9% vs LHP in L30
*MIL has 5 batters in the lineup who strike out over 25% in L30
*MIL allows 5th most Ks in L3 (11)
Liberatore makes his first start against one of the teams who strikes out the most vs LHP. This season in the minors Liberatore has 56 strikeouts in 46 innings pitched.
Spencer Strider U9.5 Ks -130
*TEX allows 8.33 Ks in L3 (5 in last game)
*Only two hitters in the lineup strike out more than 25%
*Only gone over 3 times (8 starts)
I know I have a history of fading elite pitchers and paying for it but 9.5 is too high vs Rangers.
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