Tough break again – back to the lab we go!
Cristian Javier O6.5 Ks -104
*LAA strikes out 23.2% vs RHP in L30
*5 strike out targets in the lineup
*Double digit vs a better Angels lineup earlier in the season
Trust your studs, Javier should clean up.
Austin Gomber O3.5 -108
*KC strikes out 23.3% vs LHP in L30
*KC averages 9.33 Ks in L3
*7 total strike out targets in the lineup
This is a matchup play – Gomber should stumble into 4 Ks.
Tylor Megill U4.5 Ks -145
*TOR strikes out 19.1% vs RHP
*TOR strikes out the least In L3 (5)
*2 strike out targets in the lineup
This Toronto lineup should give Megill fits.
Eury Perez O5.5 Ks -143
*OAK strikes out 25.7% vs RHP in L30
*OAK averages 8.33 Ks in L3
*5 strike out targets in the lineup
Perez has a chance to bounce back after two lackluster starts.
Gerrit Cole U6.5 Ks -126
*LAD strikes out 21.4% vs RHP
*LAD strikes out 2nd least in L3 (5.33)
*3 strike out targets
Cole hasn’t been racking up the Ks as his reputation would command but even with his talent this Dodgers lineup has flipped 180 and become a more disciplined lineup.
Kyle Bradish O5.5 Ks +114
*SF strikes out 24.7% vs RHP in L30
*SF strikes out 3rd most in L3 (10.67)
*7 total strike out targets
Bradish gets a plus matchup to hit a season high (7+ in my projections)
Drew Smyly O4.5 Ks +102
*SD strikes out 29% vs LHP in L30
*SD strikes out 2nd most in L3 (11.33)
*3 strike out targets in the lineup
This is one data point shy from a perfect play – SD whiffs at LHP so I am comfortable with that offsetting strike out targets in the lineup.
Yu Darvish O6.5 Ks -143
*CHC strikes out 6th most in L3 (10.33)
*CHC strikes out 27% vs RHP in L30
*6 strike out targets
It is juiced but this is the type of low scoring game where we see both pitchers rack up the Ks.
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