Last week was a disaster – model updated, got to trust the process.
Let’s start the week off right!
Shane McClanahan O5.5 Ks/ TB ML -118
*BAL has struck out the 2nd most in L3 (12.33)
*Only 3 batters in the lineup strike out more than 25% (another batter is at 24.4%) – McClanahan has hit at least 6 of 7 starts
*Opposing pitcher Kyle Gibson has been roughed up the last two starts, I see this continuing – ride the parlay
Freddy Peralta O6.5 Ks +112
*LAD strikes out 5th most in L3 (9.33)
*LAD has 5 hitters who strike out over 24.7% of the time
*LAD strikes out 23.5% as a team vs RHP
*Peralta has gone over in 4 of 6 games this season – capable of getting 8+ against this lineup
Zac Gallen O6.5 Ks -126
*MIA strikes out 22.6% of the time vs RHP in L30
*Gallen averages 8.1 Ks per game – Gallen is in a prime spot to get a quality start where he has covered in 4 of 5
*MIA has 4 hitters in the lineup that K over 25% of the time in L30
Ketal Marte/Kyle Tucker 1 Hit each -118
*Marte has only faced Braxton Garrett twice but did get 1 hit against him
*Marte has a higher OBP, SLG & OPS against lefties
*Tucker has Sandoval’s number
*Tucker hits better against lefties
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Please gamble responsibly, best of luck!